On Saturday, I was pretty successful in my last Underdog Fantasy Champions selections, hitting three of my four picks. The only one I didn’t hit was San Jose’s Macklin Celebrini, who only accumulated five fantasy points (I needed him to go over 7.05).
Underdog Fantasy Champions Picks for November 23rd
My first Underdog Fantasy Champions pick on this publication was rough, as I only hit one of four (Aleksander Barkov for over 2.5 shots). So, I will try it again for the Saturday slate with a different strategy and focus on picks.
We have a full slate on Thanksgiving Eve with 30 teams playing. Thus, making another set of Champions Picks on Underdog Fantasy with so many games on deck this evening made sense. Hopefully, on one of the biggest bar nights of the year, you’ll be able to catch some hockey wherever you decide to hang out.
Here’s a look at my four picks, as I focused on points and goals in this set of picks (fantasy points were not an option, unfortunately).
Brady Tkachuk, OTT (Over 0.5 points)
The Senators hit the road to sunny San Jose as they face a Sharks team that’s given up 3.04 GA/G and 32.50 SA/G. Mackenzie Blackwood will be in the goal for the Sharks. While he has produced decent numbers (2.99 GAA, .909 SV%), this San Jose blue line allows many shots on goal, making them susceptible to high-scoring affairs. Tkachuk has four points in his last four games. He has three goals in his previous seven, averaging 4.1 SOG/G. The Sharks are playing better, but Tkachuk gets at least a point in this one for Ottawa.
Trevor Zegras, ANA (Over 0.5 points)
Zegras hasn’t lived up to expectations in fantasy this year. He’s only averaging 0.40 PTS/G and is on pace for 33 points over an 82-game span. That’s down from his 40-point pace last year and 66-point pace in 22-23.
Lately, however, he’s been looking more like the 22-23 version of himself on the ice. He has four points in his last three games and five in his previous six, including two goals and three assists. His SH% over the last six games is 14.3%, nearly double his season mark (7.3%). The same is true with his SOG/60 (8.0) in his last six versus his season average (7.1). Seattle’s Joey Daccord won’t be an easy goalie for Zegras and the Ducks, but I think the 23-year-old can add to his fantasy points in this one.
Jason Robertson, DAL (Under 0.5 points)
Robertson has been playing better recently, as he has four points in his last three games. However, he was shut out against Carolina on Monday, and they have a road game against the Chicago Blackhawks, who are allowing 2.57 GA/G. Chicago goalie Petr Mrazek has two wins and four quality starts in his last four games, thus presenting a stiff challenge for a Stars offense averaging 3.45 GF/G. Dallas likely will put points on the board against Mrazek, but I could see Robertson struggling to get involved, much like Monday against the Hurricanes.
Dylan Strome, WSH (Over 0.5 goals)
Strome has had quite the season. He has 29 points in 21 games and averages 1.38 PTS/G. He is +17 on the ice this season and is on pace to collect 113 points over 82 games. With Alex Ovechkin on the shelf for a while, the Capitals need Strome to continue this production to stay in the mix in the Metropolitan division (they are in third with 29 points).
With Strome ascending to first-line status after Ovi’s injury, he has a chance to have another big game against a 24-point Tampa Bay Lightning team. Tampa Bay only allows 2.75 GA/G and Lightning goalie Andrei Vasilevsky has had four quality starts in his last four games. However, Washington lost 3-0 the last time they played in Tampa. The Capitals will catch Vasilevsky and the Lightning off guard this time before Thanksgiving, with Strome leading the way in the goal-scoring department.
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